Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.152512 0.168846 0.185539 0.203831 0.223272 0.243279 0.265385
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.132017 0.154920 0.179180 0.206654 0.236765 0.268634 0.304782
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.115711 0.142975 0.172773 0.207462 0.246450 0.288643 0.337485
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.103335 0.133827 0.168097 0.208965 0.255887 0.307614 0.368491
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.091931 0.124573 0.162246 0.208184 0.261953 0.322207 0.394149
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.084983 0.119852 0.161036 0.212212 0.273081 0.342214 0.425724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.077659 0.113990 0.157891 0.213450 0.280547 0.357716 0.451941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.070963 0.108340 0.154518 0.213984 0.286827 0.371584 0.476092
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064402 0.102339 0.150262 0.213040 0.291009 0.382739 0.496899
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059465 0.098096 0.147904 0.214169 0.297487 0.396470 0.520656
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057277 0.097386 0.149955 0.220749 0.310614 0.418178 0.553964
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053151 0.093681 0.147838 0.221805 0.316730 0.431319 0.576979
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049373 0.090429 0.146415 0.224003 0.324694 0.447293 0.604222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045719 0.087096 0.144691 0.225674 0.331930 0.462386 0.630496
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041903 0.083231 0.142010 0.225899 0.337196 0.474992 0.653751
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038761 0.080151 0.140234 0.227187 0.343736 0.489143 0.678921
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035223 0.076164 0.136939 0.226219 0.347195 0.499342 0.699175
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033438 0.074868 0.137439 0.230405 0.357402 0.518077 0.730098
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031010 0.072309 0.135931 0.231679 0.363674 0.531785 0.754762
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028591 0.069566 0.133994 0.232226 0.368890 0.544103 0.777688
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025997 0.066289 0.131070 0.231222 0.371910 0.553531 0.796947
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024109 0.064123 0.129736 0.232410 0.377845 0.566707 0.820970
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023602 0.064481 0.132348 0.239351 0.391693 0.590243 0.858283